MSK Zilina vs Hajduk Split: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
MSK Zilinavs
Hajduk SplitThe model puts Hajduk Split at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours MSK Zilina.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- MSK Zilina have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hajduk Split have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- MSK Zilina have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hajduk Split is priced at 2.29.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts MSK Zilina at 30%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Hajduk Split at 42%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. MSK Zilina is priced at 3.09. The draw is priced at 3.25. Hajduk Split is priced at 2.29.
MSK Zilina have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Hajduk Split have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
MSK Zilina have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Hajduk Split have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, MSK Zilina or Hajduk Split?
Our model rates Hajduk Split as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for MSK Zilina vs Hajduk Split?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 MSK Zilina wins, 1 draws, 1 Hajduk Split wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.