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USA. USL Cup

San Antonio Texas vs Chattanooga Red Wolves: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

San Antonio Texas San Antonio TexasvsChattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves
Our predictionSan Antonio Texas to win
Model score: High · 67/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts San Antonio Texas at 58%. The model leans toward San Antonio Texas. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · San Antonio TexasDraw2 · Chattanooga Red Wolves
Full team comparison

Expected goals

2.32San Antonio Texas
xG
0.85Chattanooga Red Wolves
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score51%
Team strength rating
San Antonio Texas
67
Chattanooga Red Wolves
39

Recent form

San Antonio TexasDWLWD
Chattanooga Red WolvesLWWWL

Most likely scorelines

2-011.4%
1-09.8%
2-19.6%
3-08.8%
1-18.3%
3-17.4%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
San Antonio Texas Chattanooga Red Wolves

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2San Antonio Texas win1.58Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0442
11083
2111041
3973
4542
522

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.82+1.0%
1X2San Antonio Texas1.58+0.4%
1X2Chattanooga Red Wolves5.91-0.1%
1X2Draw3.34-0.2%
BTTSNo1.85-1.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts San Antonio Texas at 58%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Chattanooga Red Wolves at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward San Antonio Texas. San Antonio Texas is priced at 1.58. The draw is priced at 3.34. Chattanooga Red Wolves is priced at 5.91.

San Antonio Texas have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Chattanooga Red Wolves have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 61% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, San Antonio Texas or Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Our model rates San Antonio Texas as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for San Antonio Texas vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

San Antonio Texas

Starting XI
  • 1Sanchez R.6.3
  • 3Taintor5.6
  • 4Blanco N.6.1
  • 5Souahy6.5
  • 6Chalov6.4
  • 7Haakenson6.0
  • 8Javier Hernandez6.2
  • 9Patino S.6.3
  • 13Ward A.6.5
  • 14Berron L.6.2
  • 17Barbir7.2

Chattanooga Red Wolves

Starting XI
  • 2Adewole6.5
  • 6Wessels6.9
  • 7Javier Hernandez6.6
  • 9Mercer6.8
  • 10Bentley6.1
  • 11Ramos6.5
  • 12Jerez Ric.7.0
  • 14Javier Hernandez6.1
  • 21Acosta6.3
  • 22Kinzner6.5
  • 33Ayimbila6.2

League table

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2Sacramento Republic33007:18
3Athletic Boise32107:65
4Oakland Roots41304:64
5Monterey Bay31206:73
6Las Vegas Lights30301:51
Promotion - USA. USL Cup (Play-off) Ranking of second-placed teams

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.