Orange County Blues vs Colorado Springs Switchbacks: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Orange County Bluesvs
Colorado Springs SwitchbacksThe model puts Colorado Springs Switchbacks at 48%. The model leans toward Colorado Springs Switchbacks. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Colorado Springs Switchbacks.
- +The head-to-head record favours Colorado Springs Switchbacks (1-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Orange County Blues have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Colorado Springs Switchbacks have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Orange County Blues have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Colorado Springs Switchbacks is priced at 2.02.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Orange County Blues at 28%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Colorado Springs Switchbacks at 48%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Colorado Springs Switchbacks. Orange County Blues is priced at 3.185. The draw is priced at 3.42. Colorado Springs Switchbacks is priced at 2.02.
Orange County Blues have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Colorado Springs Switchbacks have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Orange County Blues have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Colorado Springs Switchbacks have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Orange County Blues or Colorado Springs Switchbacks?
Our model rates Colorado Springs Switchbacks as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Orange County Blues vs Colorado Springs Switchbacks?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Orange County Blues wins, 1 draws, 4 Colorado Springs Switchbacks wins.
Odds movement
League table
USA. USL Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spokane Velocity | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:6 | 9 |
| 2 |  Sacramento Republic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 3 |  Athletic Boise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 4 |  Oakland Roots | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 5 |  Monterey Bay | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 6 |  Las Vegas Lights | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:5 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.