Kuopion Palloseura vs Vardar: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kuopion Palloseuravs
VardarThe model puts Kuopion Palloseura at 53%. The model leans toward Kuopion Palloseura. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Kuopion Palloseura.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kuopion Palloseura have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Vardar have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kuopion Palloseura is priced at 1.86.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kuopion Palloseura at 53%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Vardar at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Kuopion Palloseura. Kuopion Palloseura is priced at 1.86. The draw is priced at 3.64. Vardar is priced at 3.92.
Vardar have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Kuopion Palloseura have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Kuopion Palloseura are on 2 wins in a row. Vardar have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kuopion Palloseura or Vardar?
Our model rates Kuopion Palloseura as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kuopion Palloseura vs Vardar?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Kuopion Palloseura wins, 0 draws, 1 Vardar wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.