KF Drita vs Zalgiris Kaunas: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
KF Dritavs
Zalgiris KaunasThe model puts KF Drita at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours KF Drita.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- KF Drita have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zalgiris Kaunas have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- KF Drita is priced at 2.3.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts KF Drita at 44%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Zalgiris Kaunas at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. KF Drita is priced at 2.3. The draw is priced at 3.24. Zalgiris Kaunas is priced at 3.09.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
KF Drita have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Zalgiris Kaunas have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, KF Drita or Zalgiris Kaunas?
Our model rates KF Drita as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for KF Drita vs Zalgiris Kaunas?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 KF Drita wins, 1 draws, 0 Zalgiris Kaunas wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.