CS Universitatea Craiova vs ML Vitebsk: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
CS Universitatea Craiovavs
ML VitebskThe model puts CS Universitatea Craiova at 76%. The model leans toward CS Universitatea Craiova. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours CS Universitatea Craiova.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- CS Universitatea Craiova have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- ML Vitebsk have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CS Universitatea Craiova is priced at 1.25.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 18 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 14 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts CS Universitatea Craiova at 76%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts ML Vitebsk at 7%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward CS Universitatea Craiova. CS Universitatea Craiova is priced at 1.25. The draw is priced at 5.35. ML Vitebsk is priced at 12.5.
ML Vitebsk have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
CS Universitatea Craiova have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. CS Universitatea Craiova are on 2 wins in a row. ML Vitebsk have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 29% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, CS Universitatea Craiova or ML Vitebsk?
Our model rates CS Universitatea Craiova as the most likely outcome at 76% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for CS Universitatea Craiova vs ML Vitebsk?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 CS Universitatea Craiova wins, 0 draws, 1 ML Vitebsk wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.