Krylia Sovetov II vs Ural II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Krylia Sovetov IIvs
Ural IIThe model puts Krylia Sovetov II at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Ural II.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Krylia Sovetov II have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ural II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Krylia Sovetov II have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Krylia Sovetov II is priced at 1.98.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Krylia Sovetov II at 44%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Ural II at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Krylia Sovetov II. Krylia Sovetov II is priced at 1.98. The draw is priced at 3.5. Ural II is priced at 3.215.
Krylia Sovetov II have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Ural II have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Krylia Sovetov II have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Ural II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Krylia Sovetov II or Ural II?
Our model rates Krylia Sovetov II as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Krylia Sovetov II vs Ural II?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Krylia Sovetov II wins, 4 draws, 1 Ural II wins.
League table
Russian Championship. League 2. Division B. Group 4| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 41:13 | 41 |
| 2 |  Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 39:19 | 35 |
| 3 |  KDV | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 29:17 | 35 |
| 4 | Krylia Sovetov II | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:17 | 23 |
| 5 |  Akron Tolyatti II | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 29:26 | 20 |
| 6 |  Izhevsk | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23:23 | 20 |
| 7 | Ural II | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 26:29 | 18 |
| 8 |  Rubin Kazan II | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18:23 | 18 |
| 9 |  Orenburg II | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | 18 |
| 10 |  Chelyabinsk II | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 12:24 | 14 |
| 11 |  Dynamo Barnaul | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19:40 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nosta Novotroitsk | 16 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 13:35 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.