Orenburg II vs Rubin Kazan II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Orenburg IIvs
Rubin Kazan IIThe model puts Orenburg II at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Orenburg II (3-3-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Orenburg II have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rubin Kazan II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Orenburg II have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Orenburg II is priced at 2.24.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Orenburg II at 43%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Rubin Kazan II at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Orenburg II is priced at 2.24. The draw is priced at 2.99. Rubin Kazan II is priced at 3.12.
Orenburg II have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Orenburg II have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Rubin Kazan II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Orenburg II or Rubin Kazan II?
Our model rates Orenburg II as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Orenburg II vs Rubin Kazan II?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Orenburg II wins, 3 draws, 0 Rubin Kazan II wins.
League table
Russian Championship. League 2. Division B. Group 4| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 41:13 | 41 |
| 2 |  Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 39:19 | 35 |
| 3 |  KDV | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 29:17 | 35 |
| 4 |  Krylia Sovetov II | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:17 | 23 |
| 5 |  Akron Tolyatti II | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 29:26 | 20 |
| 6 |  Izhevsk | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23:23 | 20 |
| 7 |  Ural II | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 26:29 | 18 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan II | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18:23 | 18 |
| 9 | Orenburg II | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | 18 |
| 10 |  Chelyabinsk II | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 12:24 | 14 |
| 11 |  Dynamo Barnaul | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19:40 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nosta Novotroitsk | 16 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 13:35 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.