Larne vs Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Larnevs
Societa Polisportiva Tre FioriThe model puts Larne at 81%. The model leans toward Larne. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Larne.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Larne have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Larne is priced at 1.179.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 5 | ||||
| 2 | 19 | 6 | ||||
| 3 | 15 | 5 | ||||
| 4 | 9 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Larne at 81%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori at 5%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Larne. Larne is priced at 1.179. The draw is priced at 6.35. Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori is priced at 16.5.
Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Larne have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Larne are on 2 wins in a row. Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Larne or Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori?
Our model rates Larne as the most likely outcome at 81% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Larne vs Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Larne wins, 0 draws, 1 Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.