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Finland. Ykkosliiga

JIPPO vs Mikkelin Palloilijat: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

JIPPO JIPPOvsMikkelin Palloilijat Mikkelin Palloilijat
Our predictionJIPPO to win
Model score: Medium · 56/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts JIPPO at 59%. The model leans toward JIPPO. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · JIPPODraw2 · Mikkelin Palloilijat
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.85+6.0%
1X2Mikkelin Palloilijat5.96+2.8%
1X2Draw3.98-0.2%
1X2JIPPO1.47-2.6%
BTTSYes1.84-6.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

JIPPODLLDL
Mikkelin PalloilijatWDDLD
Team strength rating
JIPPO
58
Mikkelin Palloilijat
45

Most likely scorelines

1-013.6%
2-013.1%
1-19.9%
2-19.5%
3-08.4%
0-07.0%

Expected goals

1.93JIPPO
xG
0.73Mikkelin Palloilijat
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score44%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
JIPPO Mikkelin Palloilijat

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2JIPPO win1.47Fair (-2.6%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0752
114104
21393
3862
4431
521

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts JIPPO at 59%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Mikkelin Palloilijat at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward JIPPO. JIPPO is priced at 1.47. The draw is priced at 3.98. Mikkelin Palloilijat is priced at 5.96.

JIPPO have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Mikkelin Palloilijat have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.

JIPPO have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Mikkelin Palloilijat have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, JIPPO or Mikkelin Palloilijat?

Our model rates JIPPO as the most likely outcome at 59% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for JIPPO vs Mikkelin Palloilijat?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 2 JIPPO wins, 2 draws, 2 Mikkelin Palloilijat wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Finland. Ykkosliiga
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1KTP Kotka14102225:1432
2PK-35 Helsinki1492324:830
3Haka1474324:1524
4JIPPO1462619:1024
5JaPS1467113:2319
6Mikkelin Palloilijat1457213:1617
7Ekenas1458121:2916
8KaPa1346315:2015
9Klubi-041317510:168
10SJK Akatemia141945:187
Promotion - Jupiler League Promotion - Higher League (Promotion) Finland. Ykkosliiga (Relegation (Play-off)) Relegation - Division 1

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.