Sutjeska Niksic vs Kairat: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sutjeska Niksicvs
KairatThe model puts Kairat at 53%. The model leans toward Kairat. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Kairat.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sutjeska Niksic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kairat have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sutjeska Niksic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Kairat is priced at 1.82.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sutjeska Niksic at 24%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Kairat at 53%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Kairat. Sutjeska Niksic is priced at 3.82. The draw is priced at 3.9. Kairat is priced at 1.82.
Sutjeska Niksic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Sutjeska Niksic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Kairat have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Kairat are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sutjeska Niksic or Kairat?
Our model rates Kairat as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sutjeska Niksic vs Kairat?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Sutjeska Niksic wins, 0 draws, 0 Kairat wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.