Black Rock vs Boston City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Black Rockvs
Boston CityThe model puts Black Rock at 88%. The model leans toward Black Rock. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Black Rock.
- +The head-to-head record favours Black Rock (3-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Black Rock have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Boston City have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Black Rock have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Black Rock is priced at 1.036.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | |||||
| 1 | 10 | 3 | ||||
| 2 | 16 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 17 | 5 | ||||
| 4 | 13 | 4 | ||||
| 5 | 9 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Black Rock at 88%. The model puts the draw at 8%. The model puts Boston City at 5%. The model's most likely scoreline is 3-0.
The market leans toward Black Rock. Black Rock is priced at 1.036. The draw is priced at 11. Boston City is priced at 17.5.
Black Rock have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Boston City have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Black Rock have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Boston City have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 23% for both teams to score. The model gives 67% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Black Rock or Boston City?
Our model rates Black Rock as the most likely outcome at 88% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Black Rock vs Boston City?
A scoreline around 3-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Black Rock wins, 2 draws, 1 Boston City wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
USA. USL League Two| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vermont Green | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 64:12 | 40 |
| 2 |  New England | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 32:21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Western Mass Pioneers | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27:20 | 27 |
| 4 | Black Rock | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 |  Albany Rush | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21:33 | 19 |
| 6 |  Seacoast United Phantoms | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 25:28 | 14 |
| 7 |  Connecticut Rush | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 19:26 | 14 |
| 8 |  Boston Bolts | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:26 | 12 |
| 9 |  AC Connecticut | 13 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 17:29 | 6 |
| 10 | Boston City | 13 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 17:49 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.