Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Strikers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sunshine Coast Wanderersvs
Brisbane StrikersThe model puts Brisbane Strikers at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Brisbane Strikers.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sunshine Coast Wanderers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Brisbane Strikers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sunshine Coast Wanderers have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Brisbane Strikers is priced at 2.15.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sunshine Coast Wanderers at 33%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Brisbane Strikers at 44%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Sunshine Coast Wanderers is priced at 2.617. The draw is priced at 3.94. Brisbane Strikers is priced at 2.15.
Sunshine Coast Wanderers have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Brisbane Strikers have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sunshine Coast Wanderers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Brisbane Strikers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sunshine Coast Wanderers or Brisbane Strikers?
Our model rates Brisbane Strikers as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Strikers?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers wins, 2 draws, 2 Brisbane Strikers wins.
Odds movement
League table
Australia. Queensland Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Broadbeach United | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 47:16 | 46 |
| 2 | Brisbane Strikers | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42:14 | 42 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 36:22 | 29 |
| 4 |  Robina City | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30:20 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ipswich FC | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 29:27 | 28 |
| 6 |  Caboolture | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 35:31 | 27 |
| 7 |  Redlands United | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 35:32 | 25 |
| 8 |  Holland Park Hawks | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:33 | 24 |
| 9 |  Logan Lightning | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 33:35 | 23 |
| 10 |  North Star | 18 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 16:37 | 12 |
| 11 |  Sent-George Willawong | 18 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 10:41 | 10 |
| 12 |  Capalaba | 18 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 17:51 | 8 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.