Ningbo vs Foshan Nanshi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ningbovs
Foshan NanshiThe model puts Ningbo at 54%. The model leans toward Ningbo. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Ningbo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Foshan Nanshi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ningbo have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Ningbo is priced at 1.68.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ningbo at 54%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Foshan Nanshi at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Ningbo. Ningbo is priced at 1.68. The draw is priced at 3.44. Foshan Nanshi is priced at 4.64.
Ningbo have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Foshan Nanshi have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ningbo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Foshan Nanshi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ningbo or Foshan Nanshi?
Our model rates Ningbo as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ningbo vs Foshan Nanshi?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Ningbo wins, 1 draws, 3 Foshan Nanshi wins.
League table
China. League One| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guangdong GZ-Power | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27:14 | 30 |
| 2 |  Shenzhen Juniors | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26:18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Yanbian Longding | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 4 |  Nantong Zhiyun | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 12:9 | 23 |
| 5 |  Suzhou Dongwu | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 6 |  Shaanxi Union | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:9 | 19 |
| 7 | Ningbo | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:16 | 18 |
| 8 |  Nanjing City | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 14:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Yanbian Longding | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:16 | 17 |
| 10 |  Jiangxi Dingnan United | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 21:24 | 17 |
| 11 |  Dalian Kun City | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19:20 | 16 |
| 12 |  Changchun Yatai | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 20:22 | 15 |
| 13 |  Meizhou Hakka | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 13:29 | 11 |
| 14 | Foshan Nanshi | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 15:26 | 10 |
| 15 |  Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 14 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 16 | Suzhou Dongwu | 14 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 11:22 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.