Atletico Colegiales vs Club 24 de Setiembre Aregua: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Atletico Colegialesvs
Club 24 de Setiembre AreguaThe model puts Club 24 de Setiembre Aregua at 46%. The model leans toward Club 24 de Setiembre Aregua. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Atletico Colegiales have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club 24 de Setiembre Aregua have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club 24 de Setiembre Aregua is priced at 1.94.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Atletico Colegiales at 26%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Club 24 de Setiembre Aregua at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward Club 24 de Setiembre Aregua. Atletico Colegiales is priced at 3.53. The draw is priced at 3.3. Club 24 de Setiembre Aregua is priced at 1.94.
Atletico Colegiales have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Club 24 de Setiembre Aregua have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 67% for both teams to score. The model gives 68% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Atletico Colegiales or Club 24 de Setiembre Aregua?
Our model rates Club 24 de Setiembre Aregua as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Atletico Colegiales vs Club 24 de Setiembre Aregua?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.