Club Sport Colombia vs 29 de Septiembre: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Club Sport Colombiavs
29 de SeptiembreThe model puts Club Sport Colombia at 60%. The model leans toward Club Sport Colombia. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Club Sport Colombia.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Club Sport Colombia have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 29 de Septiembre have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Sport Colombia is priced at 1.47.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Club Sport Colombia at 60%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts 29 de Septiembre at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Club Sport Colombia. Club Sport Colombia is priced at 1.47. The draw is priced at 4. 29 de Septiembre is priced at 5.82.
Club Sport Colombia have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. 29 de Septiembre have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. 29 de Septiembre are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 55% for both teams to score. The model gives 65% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Club Sport Colombia or 29 de Septiembre?
Our model rates Club Sport Colombia as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Club Sport Colombia vs 29 de Septiembre?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.