Justo Jose de Urquiza vs CSR Espanol: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Justo Jose de Urquizavs
CSR EspanolThe model puts CSR Espanol at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Justo Jose de Urquiza.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Justo Jose de Urquiza have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CSR Espanol have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Justo Jose de Urquiza have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- CSR Espanol is priced at 1.98.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Justo Jose de Urquiza at 26%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts CSR Espanol at 43%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward CSR Espanol. Justo Jose de Urquiza is priced at 4.02. The draw is priced at 2.875. CSR Espanol is priced at 1.98.
Justo Jose de Urquiza have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. CSR Espanol have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Justo Jose de Urquiza have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Justo Jose de Urquiza are on 3 wins in a row. CSR Espanol have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Justo Jose de Urquiza or CSR Espanol?
Our model rates CSR Espanol as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Justo Jose de Urquiza vs CSR Espanol?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Justo Jose de Urquiza wins, 1 draws, 1 CSR Espanol wins.
League table
Argentina. Primera C Metropolitana| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacachispas | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 24:14 | 34 |
| 2 |  Asociacion Deportiva Berazategui | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 23:14 | 32 |
| 3 | CSR Espanol | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 26:17 | 29 |
| 4 |  Estrella del Sur | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 21:16 | 28 |
| 5 |  Club Atletico Victoriano Arenas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:11 | 26 |
| 6 |  Puerto Nuevo | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 17:18 | 26 |
| 7 |  Club Mercedes | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:10 | 25 |
| 8 |  CA Lugano | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 21:17 | 25 |
| 9 |  Club Leandro N. Alem | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:32 | 23 |
| 10 |  Juventud Unida de San Miguel | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:19 | 21 |
| 11 |  Club Defensores de Cambaceres | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:21 | 21 |
| 12 |  Club Atletico Argentino Rosario | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18:23 | 16 |
| 13 |  Deportivo Paraguayo | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 10:25 | 16 |
| 14 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 6:18 | 15 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.