CA Claypole vs Leones de Rosario: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
CA Claypolevs
Leones de RosarioThe model puts Leones de Rosario at 35%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours CA Claypole.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- CA Claypole have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Leones de Rosario have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CA Claypole have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Leones de Rosario is priced at 2.5.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts CA Claypole at 34%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Leones de Rosario at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. CA Claypole is priced at 3.025. The draw is priced at 2.9. Leones de Rosario is priced at 2.5.
CA Claypole have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
CA Claypole have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Leones de Rosario have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, CA Claypole or Leones de Rosario?
Our model rates Leones de Rosario as the most likely outcome at 35% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for CA Claypole vs Leones de Rosario?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 CA Claypole wins, 0 draws, 0 Leones de Rosario wins.
Odds movement
League table
Argentina. Primera C Metropolitana| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacachispas | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 24:14 | 34 |
| 2 |  Asociacion Deportiva Berazategui | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 23:14 | 32 |
| 3 |  CSR Espanol | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26:17 | 30 |
| 4 |  Puerto Nuevo | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 18:18 | 29 |
| 5 |  Estrella del Sur | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:17 | 28 |
| 6 |  Club Atletico Victoriano Arenas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 7 |  Club Mercedes | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:11 | 26 |
| 8 |  CA Lugano | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:17 | 26 |
| 9 |  Club Leandro N. Alem | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24:32 | 26 |
| 10 |  Juventud Unida de San Miguel | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:19 | 22 |
| 11 |  Club Defensores de Cambaceres | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:21 | 21 |
| 12 |  Club Atletico Argentino Rosario | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18:25 | 16 |
| 13 |  Justo Jose de Urquiza | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 6:18 | 16 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Paraguayo | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 10:25 | 16 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.