CA Fenix Pilar vs Club Sportivo Barracas: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
CA Fenix Pilarvs
Club Sportivo BarracasThe model puts Club Sportivo Barracas at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- CA Fenix Pilar have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Sportivo Barracas have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CA Fenix Pilar have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Club Sportivo Barracas is priced at 2.17.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts CA Fenix Pilar at 26%. The model puts the draw at 33%. The model puts Club Sportivo Barracas at 41%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. CA Fenix Pilar is priced at 3.48. The draw is priced at 2.83. Club Sportivo Barracas is priced at 2.17.
CA Fenix Pilar have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Club Sportivo Barracas have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
CA Fenix Pilar have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Club Sportivo Barracas have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, CA Fenix Pilar or Club Sportivo Barracas?
Our model rates Club Sportivo Barracas as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for CA Fenix Pilar vs Club Sportivo Barracas?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 CA Fenix Pilar wins, 1 draws, 2 Club Sportivo Barracas wins.
League table
Argentina. Primera C Metropolitana| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacachispas | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 24:14 | 34 |
| 2 |  Asociacion Deportiva Berazategui | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 23:14 | 32 |
| 3 |  CSR Espanol | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26:17 | 30 |
| 4 |  Puerto Nuevo | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 18:18 | 29 |
| 5 |  Estrella del Sur | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:17 | 28 |
| 6 |  Club Atletico Victoriano Arenas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 7 |  Club Mercedes | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:11 | 26 |
| 8 |  CA Lugano | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:17 | 26 |
| 9 |  Club Leandro N. Alem | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24:32 | 26 |
| 10 |  Juventud Unida de San Miguel | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:19 | 22 |
| 11 |  Club Defensores de Cambaceres | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:21 | 21 |
| 12 |  Club Atletico Argentino Rosario | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18:25 | 16 |
| 13 |  Justo Jose de Urquiza | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 6:18 | 16 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Paraguayo | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 10:25 | 16 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.