← All predictions
Finland. Kakkonen. Division 2

SJK Akatemia II vs TP-47: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

SJK Akatemia II SJK Akatemia IIvsTP-47 TP-47
Our predictionSJK Akatemia II to win
Model score: Medium · 53/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts SJK Akatemia II at 49%. The model leans toward SJK Akatemia II. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · SJK Akatemia IIDraw2 · TP-47
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo3.76+25.0%
1X2SJK Akatemia II1.92+1.7%
1X2Draw4.10-0.1%
1X2TP-473.00-1.6%
BTTSYes1.22-25.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

SJK Akatemia IIWWLDW
TP-47WLLWL
Team strength rating
SJK Akatemia II
67
TP-47
50

Most likely scorelines

1-011.9%
1-111.7%
2-09.7%
2-19.6%
0-07.2%
0-17.1%

Expected goals

1.64SJK Akatemia II
xG
0.98TP-47
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score51%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
SJK Akatemia II TP-47

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2SJK Akatemia II win1.92Fair (+1.7%)
Double chanceSJK Akatemia II or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07741
1121262
2101052
3553
4221
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts SJK Akatemia II at 49%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts TP-47 at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward SJK Akatemia II. SJK Akatemia II is priced at 1.92. The draw is priced at 4.1. TP-47 is priced at 2.996.

SJK Akatemia II have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. TP-47 have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

SJK Akatemia II have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. SJK Akatemia II are on 2 wins in a row. TP-47 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, SJK Akatemia II or TP-47?

Our model rates SJK Akatemia II as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for SJK Akatemia II vs TP-47?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 2 SJK Akatemia II wins, 1 draws, 3 TP-47 wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Finland. Kakkonen. Division 2
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1GBK Kokkola1275027:2321
2FF Jaro II1174024:3121
3 Urho/Huima 1254329:2318
4Narpes Kraft1155136:2516
5VPS Akatemia1143428:2116
6JBK Pietarsaari1256120:1816
7TP-471143422:2116
8SJK Akatemia II1155119:2216
9Vaajakoski1136220:2811
10Hercules Oulu1237217:3011
Promotion - Division 2 - Group C (Winners stage) Division 2 - Group C (Losers stage)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.