SJK Akatemia II vs TP-47: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts SJK Akatemia II at 49%. The model leans toward SJK Akatemia II. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours SJK Akatemia II.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- SJK Akatemia II have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- TP-47 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- SJK Akatemia II have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- SJK Akatemia II is priced at 1.92.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts SJK Akatemia II at 49%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts TP-47 at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward SJK Akatemia II. SJK Akatemia II is priced at 1.92. The draw is priced at 4.1. TP-47 is priced at 2.996.
SJK Akatemia II have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. TP-47 have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
SJK Akatemia II have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. SJK Akatemia II are on 2 wins in a row. TP-47 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, SJK Akatemia II or TP-47?
Our model rates SJK Akatemia II as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for SJK Akatemia II vs TP-47?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 SJK Akatemia II wins, 1 draws, 3 TP-47 wins.
League table
Finland. Kakkonen. Division 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 27:23 | 21 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 24:31 | 21 | |
| 3 | Urho/Huima | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 29:23 | 18 |
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 36:25 | 16 | |
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 28:21 | 16 | |
| 6 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:18 | 16 | |
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:21 | 16 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 19:22 | 16 | |
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 20:28 | 11 | |
| 10 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 17:30 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.