Vaajakoski vs FF Jaro II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Vaajakoskivs
FF Jaro IIThe model puts Vaajakoski at 45%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Vaajakoski.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Vaajakoski have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- FF Jaro II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Vaajakoski have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Vaajakoski is priced at 2.11.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Vaajakoski at 45%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts FF Jaro II at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Vaajakoski is priced at 2.11. The draw is priced at 4.2. FF Jaro II is priced at 2.59.
Vaajakoski have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Vaajakoski have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. FF Jaro II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 64% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Vaajakoski or FF Jaro II?
Our model rates Vaajakoski as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Vaajakoski vs FF Jaro II?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Vaajakoski wins, 0 draws, 0 FF Jaro II wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Finland. Kakkonen. Division 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GBK Kokkola | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 27:23 | 21 |
| 2 | FF Jaro II | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 24:31 | 21 |
| 3 | Urho/Huima | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 29:23 | 18 |
| 4 |  Narpes Kraft | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 36:25 | 16 |
| 5 |  VPS Akatemia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 28:21 | 16 |
| 6 |  JBK Pietarsaari | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:18 | 16 |
| 7 |  TP-47 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:21 | 16 |
| 8 |  SJK Akatemia II | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 9 | Vaajakoski | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 20:28 | 11 |
| 10 |  Hercules Oulu | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 17:30 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.