Narpes Kraft vs VPS Akatemia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Narpes Kraftvs
VPS AkatemiaThe model puts Narpes Kraft at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Narpes Kraft.
- +The head-to-head record favours Narpes Kraft (2-2-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Narpes Kraft have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VPS Akatemia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Narpes Kraft have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Narpes Kraft is priced at 2.375.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Narpes Kraft at 41%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts VPS Akatemia at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Narpes Kraft is priced at 2.375. The draw is priced at 3.95. VPS Akatemia is priced at 2.29.
Narpes Kraft have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Narpes Kraft have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. VPS Akatemia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 65% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Narpes Kraft or VPS Akatemia?
Our model rates Narpes Kraft as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Narpes Kraft vs VPS Akatemia?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 2 Narpes Kraft wins, 2 draws, 0 VPS Akatemia wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Finland. Kakkonen. Division 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GBK Kokkola | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 27:23 | 21 |
| 2 |  FF Jaro II | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 24:31 | 21 |
| 3 | Urho/Huima | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 29:23 | 18 |
| 4 | Narpes Kraft | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 36:25 | 16 |
| 5 | VPS Akatemia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 28:21 | 16 |
| 6 |  JBK Pietarsaari | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:18 | 16 |
| 7 |  TP-47 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:21 | 16 |
| 8 |  SJK Akatemia II | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 9 |  Vaajakoski | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 20:28 | 11 |
| 10 |  Hercules Oulu | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 17:30 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.