Patuxent vs Virginia Beach United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Patuxentvs
Virginia Beach UnitedThe model puts Virginia Beach United at 83%. The model leans toward Virginia Beach United. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Patuxent.
- −The head-to-head record favours Patuxent (5-0-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Patuxent have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Virginia Beach United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Patuxent have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Virginia Beach United is priced at 1.003.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 5 |
| 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Patuxent at 11%. The model puts the draw at 6%. The model puts Virginia Beach United at 83%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Virginia Beach United. Patuxent is priced at 23. The draw is priced at 13.7. Virginia Beach United is priced at 1.003.
Patuxent have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Virginia Beach United have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Patuxent have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Virginia Beach United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Patuxent or Virginia Beach United?
Our model rates Virginia Beach United as the most likely outcome at 83% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Patuxent vs Virginia Beach United?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 5 Patuxent wins, 0 draws, 1 Virginia Beach United wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
USA. USL League Two| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vermont Green | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 64:12 | 40 |
| 2 |  New England | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 32:21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Western Mass Pioneers | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27:20 | 27 |
| 4 |  Black Rock | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 |  Albany Rush | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21:33 | 19 |
| 6 |  Seacoast United Phantoms | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 25:28 | 14 |
| 7 |  Connecticut Rush | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 19:26 | 14 |
| 8 |  Boston Bolts | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:26 | 12 |
| 9 |  AC Connecticut | 13 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 17:29 | 6 |
| 10 |  Boston City | 13 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 17:49 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.