Magni vs Haukar: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Magnivs
HaukarThe model puts Haukar at 64%. The model leans toward Haukar. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Magni have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Haukar have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Magni have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Haukar is priced at 1.4.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Magni at 17%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Haukar at 64%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Haukar. Magni is priced at 5.42. The draw is priced at 4.95. Haukar is priced at 1.4.
Magni have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Haukar have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Magni have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Haukar have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Magni or Haukar?
Our model rates Haukar as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Magni vs Haukar?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Magni wins, 1 draws, 3 Haukar wins.
League table
Iceland. 2 Delid| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haukar | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28:14 | 23 |
| 2 |  Dalvik Reynir | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:15 | 20 |
| 3 |  UMF Selfoss | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 26:24 | 20 |
| 4 |  Kari Akranes | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 29:20 | 17 |
| 5 |  Kormakur Hvot | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26:14 | 16 |
| 6 |  Fjolnir | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 26:22 | 15 |
| 7 |  Vikingur Olafsvik | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 8 |  KFA Fjardabyggd | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 27:22 | 13 |
| 9 |  Hviti Riddarinn | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17:21 | 13 |
| 10 |  KFG Gardabaer | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:32 | 12 |
| 11 | Magni | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 16:33 | 11 |
| 12 |  Throttur Vogar | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 15:23 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.