Fundacion Amigos vs San Martin de Mendoza: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Fundacion Amigosvs
San Martin de MendozaThe model puts Fundacion Amigos at 57%. The model leans toward Fundacion Amigos. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours San Martin de Mendoza.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Fundacion Amigos have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- San Martin de Mendoza have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fundacion Amigos is priced at 1.53.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Fundacion Amigos at 57%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts San Martin de Mendoza at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Fundacion Amigos. Fundacion Amigos is priced at 1.53. The draw is priced at 3.34. San Martin de Mendoza is priced at 6.72.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Fundacion Amigos have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. San Martin de Mendoza have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Fundacion Amigos or San Martin de Mendoza?
Our model rates Fundacion Amigos as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Fundacion Amigos vs San Martin de Mendoza?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Fundacion Amigos wins, 1 draws, 0 San Martin de Mendoza wins.
League table
Argentina. Torneo Federal| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sportivo Belgrano | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19:7 | 28 |
| 2 |  Douglas Haig | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:14 | 28 |
| 3 |  Gimnasia y Esgrima de Chivilcoy | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 15:10 | 25 |
| 4 |  CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:23 | 25 |
| 5 |  Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:17 | 23 |
| 6 |  Sportivo Las Parejas | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11:12 | 22 |
| 7 |  Escobar | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:27 | 21 |
| 8 |  Independiente de Chivilcoy | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 9 |  Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepcion del Uruguay | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12:17 | 16 |
| 10 |  Club Atletico El Linqueno | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 11:20 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.