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South Korea. League K4

Pyeongtaek Citizens vs Seosan Pioneer: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Pyeongtaek Citizens Pyeongtaek CitizensvsSeosan Pioneer Seosan Pioneer
Our predictionPyeongtaek Citizens to win
Model score: Medium · 45/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Pyeongtaek Citizens at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Pyeongtaek CitizensDraw2 · Seosan Pioneer
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.32+20.2%
1X2Pyeongtaek Citizens2.13+0.5%
1X2Draw3.32-0.2%
1X2Seosan Pioneer3.03-0.3%
BTTSYes1.52-20.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.22Pyeongtaek Citizens
xG
0.84Seosan Pioneer
Over 2.5 goals34%
Both teams to score40%
Team strength rating
Pyeongtaek Citizens
48
Seosan Pioneer
36

Most likely scorelines

1-015.5%
1-113.1%
0-012.7%
0-110.7%
2-09.5%
2-18.0%

Recent form

Pyeongtaek CitizensLDLLW
Seosan PioneerLLLD

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Pyeongtaek Citizens Seosan Pioneer

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Pyeongtaek Citizens win2.13Fair (+0.5%)
Double chancePyeongtaek Citizens or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0131151
1161362
2983
3431
41
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Pyeongtaek Citizens at 43%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Seosan Pioneer at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Pyeongtaek Citizens. Pyeongtaek Citizens is priced at 2.13. The draw is priced at 3.32. Seosan Pioneer is priced at 3.03.

Pyeongtaek Citizens have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Seosan Pioneer have 0 wins in their last 4 matches.

The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 34% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Pyeongtaek Citizens or Seosan Pioneer?

Our model rates Pyeongtaek Citizens as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Pyeongtaek Citizens vs Seosan Pioneer?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.