Ymir Kopavogur vs UMF Tindastoll: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ymir Kopavogurvs
UMF TindastollThe model puts UMF Tindastoll at 52%. The model leans toward UMF Tindastoll. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Ymir Kopavogur.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Ymir Kopavogur have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- UMF Tindastoll have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- UMF Tindastoll is priced at 1.67.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ymir Kopavogur at 27%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts UMF Tindastoll at 52%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward UMF Tindastoll. Ymir Kopavogur is priced at 3.755. The draw is priced at 4.25. UMF Tindastoll is priced at 1.67.
Ymir Kopavogur have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. UMF Tindastoll have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 63% for both teams to score. The model gives 63% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ymir Kopavogur or UMF Tindastoll?
Our model rates UMF Tindastoll as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ymir Kopavogur vs UMF Tindastoll?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.