Esporte Clube XV de Novembro Piracicaba vs Cianorte Futebol Clube: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Esporte Clube XV de Novembro Piracicabavs
Cianorte Futebol ClubeThe model puts Esporte Clube XV de Novembro Piracicaba at 54%. The model leans toward Esporte Clube XV de Novembro Piracicaba. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Esporte Clube XV de Novembro Piracicaba have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cianorte Futebol Clube have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Esporte Clube XV de Novembro Piracicaba have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Esporte Clube XV de Novembro Piracicaba is priced at 1.7.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Esporte Clube XV de Novembro Piracicaba at 54%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Cianorte Futebol Clube at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Esporte Clube XV de Novembro Piracicaba. Esporte Clube XV de Novembro Piracicaba is priced at 1.7. The draw is priced at 3.22. Cianorte Futebol Clube is priced at 4.95.
Esporte Clube XV de Novembro Piracicaba have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Esporte Clube XV de Novembro Piracicaba have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Cianorte Futebol Clube have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Esporte Clube XV de Novembro Piracicaba or Cianorte Futebol Clube?
Our model rates Esporte Clube XV de Novembro Piracicaba as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Esporte Clube XV de Novembro Piracicaba vs Cianorte Futebol Clube?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Esporte Clube XV de Novembro Piracicaba wins, 0 draws, 0 Cianorte Futebol Clube wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.