Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sheriff Tiraspolvs
Zimbru ChisinauThe model puts Sheriff Tiraspol at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sheriff Tiraspol have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zimbru Chisinau have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sheriff Tiraspol have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sheriff Tiraspol is priced at 2.18.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sheriff Tiraspol at 42%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Zimbru Chisinau at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Sheriff Tiraspol is priced at 2.18. The draw is priced at 3.3. Zimbru Chisinau is priced at 2.95.
Sheriff Tiraspol have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Zimbru Chisinau have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sheriff Tiraspol have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Zimbru Chisinau have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sheriff Tiraspol or Zimbru Chisinau?
Our model rates Sheriff Tiraspol as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Sheriff Tiraspol wins, 1 draws, 3 Zimbru Chisinau wins.
Odds movement
League table
Moldova. Super Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Petrocub | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Zimbru Chisinau | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Balti | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:0 | 4 |
| 5 |  Politehnica Chisinau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 6 |  Dacia Buiucani | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 7 |  Milsami | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:5 | 1 |
| 8 |  Real Sireti | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.