Milsami vs Dacia Buiucani: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Milsamivs
Dacia BuiucaniThe model puts Milsami at 48%. The model leans toward Milsami. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Dacia Buiucani.
- −The head-to-head record favours Dacia Buiucani (0-1-5).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Milsami have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dacia Buiucani have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Milsami is priced at 1.81.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Milsami at 48%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Dacia Buiucani at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Milsami. Milsami is priced at 1.81. The draw is priced at 3.48. Dacia Buiucani is priced at 3.815.
Dacia Buiucani have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Milsami have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Dacia Buiucani have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Milsami or Dacia Buiucani?
Our model rates Milsami as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Milsami vs Dacia Buiucani?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Milsami wins, 1 draws, 5 Dacia Buiucani wins.
League table
Moldova. Super Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Petrocub | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 7 |
| 2 |  Zimbru Chisinau | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Balti | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 4 |  Sheriff Tiraspol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:0 | 4 |
| 5 |  Politehnica Chisinau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Dacia Buiucani | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 7 | Milsami | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:5 | 1 |
| 8 |  Real Sireti | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.