Kari Akranes vs KFA Fjardabyggd: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kari Akranesvs
KFA FjardabyggdThe model puts Kari Akranes at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours KFA Fjardabyggd.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kari Akranes have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- KFA Fjardabyggd have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kari Akranes have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Kari Akranes is priced at 2.13.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kari Akranes at 41%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts KFA Fjardabyggd at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Kari Akranes is priced at 2.13. The draw is priced at 4.2. KFA Fjardabyggd is priced at 2.47.
Kari Akranes have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. KFA Fjardabyggd have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Kari Akranes have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. KFA Fjardabyggd have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kari Akranes or KFA Fjardabyggd?
Our model rates Kari Akranes as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kari Akranes vs KFA Fjardabyggd?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 2 Kari Akranes wins, 0 draws, 2 KFA Fjardabyggd wins.
Odds movement
League table
Iceland. 2 Delid| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Haukar | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28:14 | 23 |
| 2 |  Dalvik Reynir | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:15 | 20 |
| 3 |  UMF Selfoss | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 26:24 | 20 |
| 4 | Kari Akranes | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 29:20 | 17 |
| 5 |  Kormakur Hvot | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26:14 | 16 |
| 6 |  Fjolnir | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 26:22 | 15 |
| 7 |  Vikingur Olafsvik | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 8 | KFA Fjardabyggd | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 27:22 | 13 |
| 9 |  Hviti Riddarinn | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17:21 | 13 |
| 10 |  KFG Gardabaer | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:32 | 12 |
| 11 |  Magni | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 16:33 | 11 |
| 12 |  Throttur Vogar | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 15:23 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.