San Juan SC vs Marin Legends: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
San Juan SCvs
Marin LegendsThe model puts San Juan SC at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Marin Legends.
- −The head-to-head record favours Marin Legends (0-1-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- San Juan SC have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Marin Legends have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- San Juan SC is priced at 2.07.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts San Juan SC at 42%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Marin Legends at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. San Juan SC is priced at 2.07. The draw is priced at 4.15. Marin Legends is priced at 2.655.
Marin Legends have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
San Juan SC have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Marin Legends have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 65% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, San Juan SC or Marin Legends?
Our model rates San Juan SC as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for San Juan SC vs Marin Legends?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 0 San Juan SC wins, 1 draws, 2 Marin Legends wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
USA. USL League Two| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vermont Green | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 64:12 | 40 |
| 2 |  New England | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 32:21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Western Mass Pioneers | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27:20 | 27 |
| 4 |  Black Rock | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 5 |  Albany Rush | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 22:35 | 19 |
| 6 |  Boston Bolts | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:27 | 15 |
| 7 |  Seacoast United Phantoms | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 25:29 | 14 |
| 8 |  Connecticut Rush | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 19:26 | 14 |
| 9 |  AC Connecticut | 14 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 18:29 | 9 |
| 10 |  Boston City | 14 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 18:50 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.