Ugyen Academy vs Transport United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ugyen Academyvs
Transport UnitedThe model puts Transport United at 80%. The model leans toward Transport United. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Transport United.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Ugyen Academy have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Transport United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ugyen Academy have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Transport United is priced at 1.121.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 5 |
| 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ugyen Academy at 8%. The model puts the draw at 12%. The model puts Transport United at 80%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Transport United. Ugyen Academy is priced at 11.7. The draw is priced at 7.4. Transport United is priced at 1.121.
Ugyen Academy have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Transport United have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Ugyen Academy have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Transport United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ugyen Academy or Transport United?
Our model rates Transport United as the most likely outcome at 80% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ugyen Academy vs Transport United?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 2 Ugyen Academy wins, 0 draws, 2 Transport United wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Bhutan. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paro | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 31:7 | 19 |
| 2 |  Thimphu City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Transport United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 4 |  RTC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 14 |
| 5 |  Thimphu | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 6 |  Tsirang | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14:15 | 11 |
| 7 |  BFF Academy (Youth) | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 8 |  Drukpa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:10 | 9 |
| 9 |  Tensung | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3:15 | 5 |
| 10 | Ugyen Academy | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7:33 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.