Manta vs Delfin: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Mantavs
DelfinThe model puts the draw at 35%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Manta (3-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Manta have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Delfin have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Manta have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- the draw is priced at 2.565.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Manta at 34%. The model puts the draw at 35%. The model puts Delfin at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Manta is priced at 2.897. The draw is priced at 2.565. Delfin is priced at 2.99.
Manta have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Delfin have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Manta have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Delfin have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Manta or Delfin?
Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 35% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Manta vs Delfin?
A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Manta wins, 2 draws, 1 Delfin wins.
Odds movement
League table
Ecuador. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 40:19 | 43 |
| 2 |  SD Aucas | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21:16 | 32 |
| 3 |  Barcelona Sporting Club | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 20:13 | 30 |
| 4 |  Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 19:14 | 28 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | 27 |
| 6 |  Universidad Catolica Quito | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 7 |  Club Social y Deportivo Macara | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 18:18 | 26 |
| 8 |  Emelec | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 14:17 | 24 |
| 9 |  Tecnico Universitario | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 10 |  Leones Del Norte | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 11 |  Orense Sporting Club | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:24 | 23 |
| 12 |  Guayaquil City | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 16:21 | 22 |
| 13 |  Mushuc Runa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 23:27 | 21 |
| 14 |  Libertad Loja | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 17:25 | 18 |
| 15 | Delfin | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 10:18 | 17 |
| 16 | Manta | 18 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 7:23 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.