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Iceland. 3 Deild

Arbair vs Reynir Sandgerdi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Arbair ArbairvsReynir Sandgerdi Reynir Sandgerdi
Our predictionReynir Sandgerdi to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 0-2

The model puts Reynir Sandgerdi at 67%. The model leans toward Reynir Sandgerdi. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · ArbairDraw2 · Reynir Sandgerdi
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo3.23+17.6%
O/U 2.5Under 2.54.00+11.1%
1X2Reynir Sandgerdi1.37+0.9%
1X2Arbair5.90+0.1%
1X2Draw4.95-0.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Arbair
29
Reynir Sandgerdi
76

Expected goals

0.89Arbair
xG
2.52Reynir Sandgerdi
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score54%

Recent form

ArbairLDLLL
Reynir SandgerdiWDLWD

Most likely scorelines

0-210.5%
1-29.3%
0-38.8%
0-18.4%
1-37.8%
1-17.4%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Arbair Reynir Sandgerdi

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Reynir Sandgerdi win1.37Fair (+0.9%)
Total goalsOver 2.51.18Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
03811963
1379852
2134321
311
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Arbair at 15%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Reynir Sandgerdi at 67%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.

The market leans toward Reynir Sandgerdi. Arbair is priced at 5.9. The draw is priced at 4.95. Reynir Sandgerdi is priced at 1.37.

Arbair have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Reynir Sandgerdi have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 54% for both teams to score. The model gives 66% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Arbair or Reynir Sandgerdi?

Our model rates Reynir Sandgerdi as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Arbair vs Reynir Sandgerdi?

A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.