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Iceland. 3 Deild

KF Vidir vs Augnablik Kopavogur: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

KF Vidir KF VidirvsAugnablik Kopavogur Augnablik Kopavogur
Our predictionKF Vidir to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 3-0

The model puts KF Vidir at 70%. The model leans toward KF Vidir. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · KF VidirDraw2 · Augnablik Kopavogur
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.44+9.8%
1X2KF Vidir1.32+1.6%
1X2Augnablik Kopavogur6.96-0.7%
1X2Draw5.00-0.9%
BTTSYes1.47-9.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
KF Vidir
80
Augnablik Kopavogur
27

Expected goals

3.29KF Vidir
xG
0.79Augnablik Kopavogur
Over 2.5 goals77%
Both teams to score53%

Recent form

KF VidirWLWWW
Augnablik KopavogurLLLWL

Most likely scorelines

3-010.0%
2-09.1%
4-08.2%
3-17.9%
2-17.2%
4-16.5%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
KF Vidir Augnablik Kopavogur

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2KF Vidir win1.32Fair (+1.6%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
021
1642
2973
31083
4873
5542

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts KF Vidir at 70%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Augnablik Kopavogur at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 3-0.

The market leans toward KF Vidir. KF Vidir is priced at 1.32. The draw is priced at 5. Augnablik Kopavogur is priced at 6.96.

KF Vidir have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Augnablik Kopavogur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 77% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, KF Vidir or Augnablik Kopavogur?

Our model rates KF Vidir as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for KF Vidir vs Augnablik Kopavogur?

A scoreline around 3-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.