Artilheiros vs University of Macau: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Artilheirosvs
University of MacauThe model puts Artilheiros at 64%. The model leans toward Artilheiros. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Artilheiros.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Artilheiros have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- University of Macau have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Artilheiros is priced at 1.454.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 9 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Artilheiros at 64%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts University of Macau at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Artilheiros. Artilheiros is priced at 1.454. The draw is priced at 5.4. University of Macau is priced at 4.375.
University of Macau have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Artilheiros have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. University of Macau have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 54% for both teams to score. The model gives 65% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Artilheiros or University of Macau?
Our model rates Artilheiros as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Artilheiros vs University of Macau?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Artilheiros wins, 0 draws, 1 University of Macau wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Macau. Elite League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shao Jiang | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 79:16 | 41 |
| 2 |  Must IPO | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 79:12 | 40 |
| 3 |  Gala | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 50:19 | 37 |
| 4 |  Macau Chiba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 38:28 | 25 |
| 5 |  Benfica Macau | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 34:41 | 21 |
| 6 |  Cheng Fung | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 29:32 | 21 |
| 7 |  Gorilla Of The Universe | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 43:61 | 17 |
| 8 |  Hang Sai | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 27:37 | 12 |
| 9 | Artilheiros | 15 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 17:89 | 8 |
| 10 | University of Macau | 15 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 11:72 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.