Al Riyadi Al Abassiya vs Racing Beirut: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al Riyadi Al Abassiyavs
Racing BeirutThe model puts Al Riyadi Al Abassiya at 78%. The model leans toward Al Riyadi Al Abassiya. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Al Riyadi Al Abassiya.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al Riyadi Al Abassiya have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Racing Beirut have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al Riyadi Al Abassiya have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Al Riyadi Al Abassiya is priced at 1.149.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 5 | ||||
| 2 | 19 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 15 | 5 | ||||
| 4 | 9 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al Riyadi Al Abassiya at 78%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Racing Beirut at 6%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Al Riyadi Al Abassiya. Al Riyadi Al Abassiya is priced at 1.149. The draw is priced at 5.85. Racing Beirut is priced at 14.
Al Riyadi Al Abassiya have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Racing Beirut have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Al Riyadi Al Abassiya have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Racing Beirut have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 26% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al Riyadi Al Abassiya or Racing Beirut?
Our model rates Al Riyadi Al Abassiya as the most likely outcome at 78% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al Riyadi Al Abassiya vs Racing Beirut?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Riyadi Al Abassiya wins, 1 draws, 2 Racing Beirut wins.
Odds movement
League table
Lebanon. Premier League (Relegation (Play-off))| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tadamon Sour | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Al-Mabarrah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Shabab Al-Sahel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Al Bourj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Al Riyadi Al Abassiya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Racing Beirut | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.