Colorado Rapids vs San Diego: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Colorado Rapidsvs
San DiegoThe model puts Colorado Rapids at 48%. The model leans toward Colorado Rapids. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Colorado Rapids score more per game (3.0 at home vs 1.0 away).
- +Colorado Rapids creates more chances (15 vs 10 shots per game).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Colorado Rapids have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- San Diego have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Colorado Rapids have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Colorado Rapids is priced at 2.13.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Colorado Rapids at 48%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts San Diego at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Colorado Rapids. Colorado Rapids is priced at 2.13. The draw is priced at 3.84. San Diego is priced at 3.096.
Colorado Rapids have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. San Diego have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Colorado Rapids have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. San Diego have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Colorado Rapids average 3 goals per game this season. Colorado Rapids average 57% possession. San Diego average 1 goals per game this season. San Diego average 62% possession.
The model gives 68% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Colorado Rapids or San Diego?
Our model rates Colorado Rapids as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Colorado Rapids vs San Diego?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Colorado Rapids wins, 0 draws, 1 San Diego wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
USA. MLS| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:12 | 32 |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 34:15 | 32 |
| 3 |  Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 4 |  Dallas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:22 | 25 |
| 5 |  Los Angeles | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24:17 | 24 |
| 6 |  Seattle Sounders | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 24 |
| 7 |  Houston Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 19:23 | 22 |
| 8 |  Minnesota United | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:22 | 22 |
| 9 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:22 | 20 |
| 10 | San Diego | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 30:27 | 17 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 15 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 25:24 | 16 |
| 12 |  St. Louis City | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 13 |  Portland Timbers | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 22:28 | 14 |
| 14 |  Austin | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 19:31 | 14 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 14:36 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.