Marupes SC vs Grobina: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Marupes SCvs
GrobinaThe model puts Grobina at 61%. The model leans toward Grobina. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Marupes SC have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Grobina have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Grobina is priced at 1.47.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Marupes SC at 16%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Grobina at 61%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Grobina. Marupes SC is priced at 5.8. The draw is priced at 4.05. Grobina is priced at 1.47.
Marupes SC have 1 wins in their last 3 matches. Grobina have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 35% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Marupes SC or Grobina?
Our model rates Grobina as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Marupes SC vs Grobina?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.