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Finland. Kolmonen. Division 3

JS Hercules II vs Haukiputaan Pallo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

JS Hercules II JS Hercules IIvsHaukiputaan Pallo Haukiputaan Pallo
Our predictionHaukiputaan Pallo to win
Model score: Medium · 54/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Haukiputaan Pallo at 62%. The model leans toward Haukiputaan Pallo. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · JS Hercules IIDraw2 · Haukiputaan Pallo
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Under 2.54.00+31.9%
BTTSNo3.29+28.9%
1X2JS Hercules II5.27+0.7%
1X2Draw4.60-0.2%
1X2Haukiputaan Pallo1.44-0.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
JS Hercules II
49
Haukiputaan Pallo
68

Most likely scorelines

0-114.5%
0-212.7%
1-110.7%
1-29.4%
0-08.3%
0-37.4%

Recent form

JS Hercules IIWWWLL
Haukiputaan Pallo

Expected goals

0.74JS Hercules II
xG
1.75Haukiputaan Pallo
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score43%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
JS Hercules II Haukiputaan Pallo

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Haukiputaan Pallo win1.44Fair (-0.6%)
Double chanceHaukiputaan Pallo or drawInfo
Total goalsUnder 2.54.00Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
081413731
1611952
22432
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts JS Hercules II at 18%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Haukiputaan Pallo at 62%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Haukiputaan Pallo. JS Hercules II is priced at 5.27. The draw is priced at 4.6. Haukiputaan Pallo is priced at 1.44.

JS Hercules II have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. JS Hercules II are on 3 wins in a row.

The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 45% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, JS Hercules II or Haukiputaan Pallo?

Our model rates Haukiputaan Pallo as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for JS Hercules II vs Haukiputaan Pallo?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.