← All predictions
Peru. Liga 3

Deportivo Lute vs Carlos Stein: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Deportivo Lute Deportivo LutevsCarlos Stein Carlos Stein
Our predictionDeportivo Lute to win
Model score: Medium · 49/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Deportivo Lute at 53%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Deportivo LuteDraw2 · Carlos Stein
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.96+5.4%
1X2Deportivo Lute1.74+0.4%
1X2Carlos Stein4.05-0.2%
1X2Draw3.56-0.2%
BTTSYes1.72-5.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Deportivo Lute
62
Carlos Stein
44

Most likely scorelines

1-012.7%
2-011.3%
1-110.9%
2-19.7%
0-07.1%
3-06.7%

Expected goals

1.78Deportivo Lute
xG
0.86Carlos Stein
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score48%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Deportivo Lute Carlos Stein

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Deportivo Lute win1.74Fair
Double chanceDeportivo Lute or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0763
1131151
2111041
3762
4331
51

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Deportivo Lute at 53%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Carlos Stein at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Deportivo Lute. Deportivo Lute is priced at 1.74. The draw is priced at 3.56. Carlos Stein is priced at 4.055.

The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Deportivo Lute or Carlos Stein?

Our model rates Deportivo Lute as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Deportivo Lute vs Carlos Stein?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

4.263.612.962.301.65
Home 1.74 Draw 3.56 Away 4.05

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.