FF Jaro vs Inter Turku: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
FF Jarovs
Inter TurkuThe model puts Inter Turku at 57%. The model leans toward Inter Turku. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours FF Jaro.
- −The head-to-head record favours FF Jaro (5-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- FF Jaro have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Inter Turku have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- FF Jaro have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Inter Turku is priced at 1.54.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts FF Jaro at 22%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Inter Turku at 57%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Inter Turku. FF Jaro is priced at 5.58. The draw is priced at 4.2. Inter Turku is priced at 1.54.
FF Jaro have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
FF Jaro have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Inter Turku have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, FF Jaro or Inter Turku?
Our model rates Inter Turku as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for FF Jaro vs Inter Turku?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 5 FF Jaro wins, 1 draws, 0 Inter Turku wins.
League table
Finland. Veikkausliiga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kuopion Palloseura | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 27:15 | 30 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23:12 | 30 |
| 3 |  Vaasan Palloseura | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:11 | 27 |
| 4 |  AC Oulu | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 20:18 | 26 |
| 5 |  HJK | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25:19 | 22 |
| 6 |  Gnistan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 7 |  Turun Palloseura | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 8 |  Lahti | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 19 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25:29 | 16 |
| 10 |  Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 18:23 | 14 |
| 11 | FF Jaro | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 15:32 | 11 |
| 12 |  Mariehamn | 15 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 8:33 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.