Halmstads vs Hacken: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Hacken at 58%. The model leans toward Hacken. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Halmstads have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hacken have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Halmstads have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hacken is priced at 1.58.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Halmstads at 20%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Hacken at 58%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Hacken. Halmstads is priced at 4.82. The draw is priced at 4.4. Hacken is priced at 1.58.
Halmstads have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Hacken have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Halmstads have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Hacken have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Halmstads or Hacken?
Our model rates Hacken as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Halmstads vs Hacken?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Halmstads wins, 1 draws, 2 Hacken wins.
League table
Sweden. Allsvenskan| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 33:15 | 32 | |
| 2 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 28:14 | 23 | |
| 3 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 25:22 | 20 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 26:15 | 19 | |
| 5 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:12 | 19 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 25:20 | 19 | |
| 7 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:14 | 18 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22:23 | 18 | |
| 9 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:18 | 18 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 16 | |
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:19 | 16 | |
| 12 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 14:17 | 13 | |
| 13 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12:19 | 10 | |
| 14 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14:28 | 10 | |
| 15 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 14:31 | 9 | |
| 16 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 10:26 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.