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India. Calcutta Premier Division

Mohun Bagan Super Giant II vs Patha Chakra: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Mohun Bagan Super Giant II Mohun Bagan Super Giant IIvsPatha Chakra Patha Chakra
Our predictionMohun Bagan Super Giant II to win
Model score: Medium · 50/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Mohun Bagan Super Giant II at 68%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Mohun Bagan Super Giant IIDraw2 · Patha Chakra
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Over 2.51.58+7.6%
BTTSNo1.80+2.6%
1X2Mohun Bagan Super Giant II1.34+0.3%
1X2Patha Chakra7.50-0.1%
1X2Draw4.50-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.70Mohun Bagan Super Giant II
xG
0.69Patha Chakra
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score46%
Team strength rating
Mohun Bagan Super Giant II
71
Patha Chakra
37

Most likely scorelines

2-012.3%
3-011.1%
1-09.1%
2-18.5%
3-17.6%
4-07.5%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Mohun Bagan Super Giant II Patha Chakra

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Mohun Bagan Super Giant II win1.34Fair
Total goalsOver 2.51.58Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
032
1962
21283
31183
4752
543

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Mohun Bagan Super Giant II at 68%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Patha Chakra at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Mohun Bagan Super Giant II. Mohun Bagan Super Giant II is priced at 1.34. The draw is priced at 4.5. Patha Chakra is priced at 7.5.

The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 66% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Mohun Bagan Super Giant II or Patha Chakra?

Our model rates Mohun Bagan Super Giant II as the most likely outcome at 68% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Mohun Bagan Super Giant II vs Patha Chakra?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.