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Simon Bolivar Cup

Ingenieros vs Oruro Royal: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Ingenieros IngenierosvsOruro Royal Oruro Royal
Our predictionIngenieros to win
Model score: Medium · 45/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Ingenieros at 53%. The model leans toward Ingenieros. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · IngenierosDraw2 · Oruro Royal
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.66+5.9%
1X2Oruro Royal3.88+2.3%
1X2Draw4.15-0.9%
1X2Ingenieros1.66-1.4%
BTTSYes1.40-5.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.18Ingenieros
xG
1.12Oruro Royal
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score60%
Team strength rating
Ingenieros
52
Oruro Royal
42

Most likely scorelines

2-19.8%
1-19.0%
2-08.8%
1-08.1%
3-17.1%
3-06.4%

Recent form

IngenierosLLLWD
Oruro RoyalLWDD

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Ingenieros Oruro Royal

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Ingenieros win1.66Fair (-1.4%)
Double chanceIngenieros or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0442
18952
291052
36741
4342
522

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Ingenieros at 53%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Oruro Royal at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market leans toward Ingenieros. Ingenieros is priced at 1.66. The draw is priced at 4.15. Oruro Royal is priced at 3.88.

Ingenieros have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Oruro Royal have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.

The model gives 60% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Ingenieros or Oruro Royal?

Our model rates Ingenieros as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Ingenieros vs Oruro Royal?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.