Jeonnam Dragons vs Chungnam Asan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Jeonnam Dragonsvs
Chungnam AsanThe model puts Chungnam Asan at 36%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Chungnam Asan.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Jeonnam Dragons have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Chungnam Asan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Jeonnam Dragons have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Chungnam Asan is priced at 2.35.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Jeonnam Dragons at 35%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Chungnam Asan at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Jeonnam Dragons is priced at 2.71. The draw is priced at 3.16. Chungnam Asan is priced at 2.35.
Jeonnam Dragons have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Chungnam Asan have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Jeonnam Dragons have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Chungnam Asan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Jeonnam Dragons or Chungnam Asan?
Our model rates Chungnam Asan as the most likely outcome at 36% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Jeonnam Dragons vs Chungnam Asan?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Jeonnam Dragons wins, 3 draws, 1 Chungnam Asan wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.