Brechin City vs Livingston: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Brechin Cityvs
LivingstonThe model puts Livingston at 86%. The model leans toward Livingston. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Livingston.
- +The head-to-head record favours Livingston (0-1-5).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Brechin City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Livingston have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Livingston is priced at 1.054.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 18 | 21 | 15 | 9 | 4 |
| 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Brechin City at 5%. The model puts the draw at 10%. The model puts Livingston at 86%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Livingston. Brechin City is priced at 22. The draw is priced at 8.7. Livingston is priced at 1.054.
Livingston have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Brechin City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Livingston have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Livingston are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 20% for both teams to score. The model gives 45% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Brechin City or Livingston?
Our model rates Livingston as the most likely outcome at 86% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Brechin City vs Livingston?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Brechin City wins, 1 draws, 5 Livingston wins.
Odds movement
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Queen's Park | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Kelty Hearts | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 3 |  Queen of the South | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 |  Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Brora Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.