Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cove Rangersvs
East KilbrideThe model puts East Kilbride at 54%. The model leans toward East Kilbride. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours East Kilbride.
- +The head-to-head record favours East Kilbride (1-0-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Cove Rangers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- East Kilbride have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cove Rangers have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- East Kilbride is priced at 1.76.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Cove Rangers at 23%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts East Kilbride at 54%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward East Kilbride. Cove Rangers is priced at 3.845. The draw is priced at 3.68. East Kilbride is priced at 1.76.
Cove Rangers have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. East Kilbride have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Cove Rangers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. East Kilbride have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. East Kilbride are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cove Rangers or East Kilbride?
Our model rates East Kilbride as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Cove Rangers wins, 0 draws, 2 East Kilbride wins.
Odds movement
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Queen's Park | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Kelty Hearts | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 3 |  Queen of the South | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 |  Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Brora Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.