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Scotland. League Cup

Annan Athletic vs Dundee: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Annan Athletic Annan AthleticvsDundee Dundee
Our predictionDundee to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 0-2

The model puts Dundee at 83%. The model leans toward Dundee. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Annan AthleticDraw2 · Dundee
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.60+18.2%
1X2Annan Athletic16.50+0.6%
1X2Dundee1.09-0.1%
1X2Draw7.60-0.5%
BTTSYes2.17-18.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Annan Athletic
40
Dundee
81

Recent form

Annan AthleticLDWWL
DundeeWWDLD

Most likely scorelines

0-219.5%
0-117.9%
0-314.2%
0-08.2%
0-47.7%
1-26.2%

Expected goals

0.32Annan Athletic
xG
2.18Dundee
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score24%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Annan Athletic Dundee

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Dundee win1.09Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0818201483
1366521
2
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Annan Athletic at 6%. The model puts the draw at 11%. The model puts Dundee at 83%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.

The market leans toward Dundee. Annan Athletic is priced at 16.5. The draw is priced at 7.6. Dundee is priced at 1.088.

Annan Athletic have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.

Annan Athletic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Dundee have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Dundee are on 2 wins in a row.

The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Annan Athletic or Dundee?

Our model rates Dundee as the most likely outcome at 83% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Annan Athletic vs Dundee?

A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings: 2 Annan Athletic wins, 0 draws, 0 Dundee wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

22.0516.8011.546.291.03
Home 16.50 Draw 7.60 Away 1.09

League table

Scotland. League Cup
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5Brora Rangers10101:30
Promotion - League Cup (Play-off: Round of 16) Ranking of second-placed teams

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.