Annan Athletic vs Dundee: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Dundee at 83%. The model leans toward Dundee. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Dundee.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Annan Athletic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dundee have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Annan Athletic have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Dundee is priced at 1.088.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 3 |
| 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Annan Athletic at 6%. The model puts the draw at 11%. The model puts Dundee at 83%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Dundee. Annan Athletic is priced at 16.5. The draw is priced at 7.6. Dundee is priced at 1.088.
Annan Athletic have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Annan Athletic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Dundee have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Dundee are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Annan Athletic or Dundee?
Our model rates Dundee as the most likely outcome at 83% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Annan Athletic vs Dundee?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 2 Annan Athletic wins, 0 draws, 0 Dundee wins.
Odds movement
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.